The front-runner for the presidency of the United States of America Donald Trump needs to win about 61 percent of the remaining delegates to represent the Republicans in this final round.
Actually, Trump stated in an interview with the Washington Post that he’s not sure that he’ll keep Reince Priebus as chairman of the Republican National Committee (RNC), where he said “I don’t know. I haven’t made the determination”.
The last days Trump has also been attacking the Republican Party’s nomination rules, stating that the process is appointed to him, making the top members of the party fight right before their meeting in Florida this week.
Trump tweeted on his official account that “Lyin’ Ted Cruz can’t get votes (I am millions ahead of him) so he has to get his delegates from the Republican bosses. It won’t work!”
RNC Chair Reince Priebus responded to Trump comments by saying that “if Donald Trump was winning the majority of votes, he would likely have the majority of delegates.” But that’s not actually what’s happening. Trump is winning a plurality of votes, and he has a plurality of delegates, according to Priebus
Ney York: Trump’s ballot target
Now Trump’s goal is in New York, where if he wins 85 delegates out of New York, while Ted Cruz gets five and John Kasich gets five, that would lower the 61 percent of remaining delegates that Trump needs to 57 percent, And if he makes it, it would all but mathematically eliminate Ted Cruz chances of getting a majority on a first ballot.
Lyin' Ted Cruz can't get votes (I am millions ahead of him) so he has to get his delegates from the Republican bosses. It won't work!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) April 17, 2016
The Democratic Race
While the Republican Party deals with their own inner issues, the Democratic Party seems to be more “peacefully”.
This is a one-on-one battle starting Ms. Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, where New York will also play an important role here. A 10-point New York wins for Clinton might result in picking up a net gain of 25 delegates, where actually Clinton holds a lead of 244 delegates.
In promised delegates, if Clinton manages to get the 10 points victory in the Big Apple, Clinton would hold a lead of 269 delegates, with Washington delegates to still be allocated.
This means that Sanders’ magic-number percentage would go up to 70 percent to 78 percent if Clinton wins on April 26th contest by an average of 55 percent against 45 percent.
Sanders said on “Today” this morning that “Let’s look at the real poll tomorrow, we have a message that is resonating all over this country.” Also, he acknowledged the current public polls that show him trailing in New York.
Source: Los Angeles Times